Blue Square Premier (Conference), Southport – Newport over 2,5

Both are ‘over teams’, Southport 63:74 which is 3,51 goals per game, worst defence in league while Newport most offensive team, best league attack 72:53 which is 3,47 (away even 3,7). Stadium is in excellent condition for game.

SOUTHPORT have released long-serving goalkeeper Tony McMillan (200 caps for club). Vice-captain James Smith (df 36/0) missed Saturday’s match due to illness and remains a doubt for Tuesday’s critical fixture. Saturday saw the return to the starting line of both Alan Moogan (mf 21/0) and Chris Lever (25/7), along with a debut for new signing Ben Smith (gk).

Edinburgh (Newport coach) lost Tony James (df 33/2) and David Pipe (mf 33/0) to illness before the game, Mike Flynn(injured, mf 34/2) against Kidderminster, Ismail Yakubu (df 33/5) with a sore hamstring, plus Max Porter (mf 26/2) is still 3-4 weeks away from full fitness

Also suspicios h2h games

..and suspicious to me some of last Southpot games

Angers – Clermont 2 @ 4,59  pinnacle  1-2 😉

i want go on this bet because of hosts problems but stop when i saw posibility that Clermont topscorer Dembélé would maybe go to Africa to play for Mali. He didnt so here is a bet..

Angers is better team but for this game they have 4 players suspended: Malik Couturier (df 8/1), Ibrahima Diallo (df 17/0), Rayan Frikeche (mf 14/2), Olivier Auriac (mf 18/0). Also injured is Jeremy Henin (df 12/0) and doubtfull two players without cap Stevie Riga and Jonas Henrique Pessalli and Richard Socrier (att 4/0)

So 5 standard players are out and they played 4 days ago friendly game with 19th Niort (in squad which probably will play this game, without missing players) and loose against so weak team

update: more good news (for me and pick, bad for hosts)

Diego Gomez (mf 15/1), Arnold Bouka Moutou (df 2/0) are also out for this game so young Hafidi would be include in squad and could debut.

On the other side is Clermont which was out of form and winter break come in right time for them. They also played friendly game now, it was against two teams, half against each and all available players get chance. Players who had some problems with injuries like Fabien Farnolle (first gk), Gregory Lacombe (mf 14/1), Jaques Salze (df 5/0) was all include in game(s) so there is no missing problems (just Touncara out but he didnt play this season). Also good news for coach is that Imorou (df 12/0) is available after a ban and Clermont have been boosted by the news that Dembele (att 19/7, topscorer) will not go to the Cup of African Nations with Mali

As i said good thing for them that winter break come because not so good form but still Clermont are unbeaten in the league on the road since August

__________________________________________________ ___________

If you dont belive in 3for3, in cooperation between clubs here analise stop for you but i will give few more arguments to people who belive..

very nice h2h (picture is down) with two ‘mistakes’. We can see season 10/11 Angers won both games but if we lok position on table in that moment everything would be clear, they need points (while Clermont didnt need)

other ‘mistake’ and in my eyes reason why didnt come same as in first game whas in season 08/09 when first game was draw and 2nd won Angers, reason to me is Angers fights for title and promotion, Clermont was quite sure

last tree games was away win, good odds, always more than 3,0. Last game last season was ht/ft 1/2 (biggiest odds 60)..so now if i am right, again turn for away win (and Clermont need that win)

i look also chairmans (didnt change for years), referee (not suspicious) but not suspicious

All in all this pick i must bet if i look in any corner, it is normal value when hiosts miss some important players but also it is very suspicious to me in other way..

Türkiye Kupası, Eskisehirspor – Mersin
Eskisehirspor -1,25ah @ 2,04 sbo  3-1

Quality is on home side and they means serius in this cup. They bring few new players, they strenght their squad and they will het chance today. Topscorer Ateş (9 goals) will probably start game on bench but Kamara (8 goasl) will lead attack

My pick is based on weaknees of Mersin. They are one on weakest clubs in Turkey Super Lig and today they have to do this game without some importzant players (from official site):
Joseph Boum (df 11/0), Aydın, Ömer (df 7/1), Steponov (df 14/1), Yattara, Özden (gk 3/0), Culio (mf 16/2), Mert Nobre (att 16/9, best scprer), Mehmet Yıldız (new signing) ve lisansı yetişmeyen yeni transfer Mitkoviç (new signing)
Bugün transferi açıklanan kaleci David Bicik ve Gosso’da henüz takıma katılmadıkları için Eskişehir’e götürülmediler. (cannot understadn this part with translater)

Kadroda yer alan isimler;
Cengiz, Orkun, Serkan Yanık, Ivan De Souza, Mustafa Keçeli,Murat Ceylan, Burhan, Hakan Bayraktar, Nurullah, Eren, Can Erdem, Nduka, Tanju, Kadir ve Mahmut.

France, PSG – Ajaccio -2ah Paris SG @ 1,9  0-0

Usually dont like top leagues and high hendiceps but must take this.

About PSG i dont need write much, it’s megateam with Zlatan (16 caps, 18 goals) and title is ‘must win’ for rich owners, they dont spend money for nothing. No leavings, they bring just one player, one of most perspective youngsters Lucas Moura. There are some long term injuries, nothing speciall

On the other side hard days for Ajaccio. After break they palyed Coupe de France with Rouen from Nationa league (3rd league) and they are eliminated (120 minutes). For this game they are without lot important players: Faty (mf 16/1) and Oberhauser(gk 1/0) are both out injured while are Medjani (df 19/1), Mostepha (mf 17/1), Diarra (mf 16/1), Diawara (df 15/1) and Belghazouani (mf 17/4) all on international duty***8230;

PSG also played cup but rest main players. This will be first league game for Ajaccio new coach

Hockey Slovakia, Martin – Piestany 2 and h2 1,85 / 2,35

Home Martin have big financial problems.. today team left 7 players + 2 injures + best player is doubtfull, because he has a new intrested (new club).. club reduce payout for players.. bad form and the weakest team in Slovakia Extralige.. Piestany is newcomer, very good and experience team. Ist very defensively style play (best defence). But today (11.1) must win.. hcp -1,5 start on 2.40 in local now 2.01, and away win in local 1.80 and ropped (example doxxbet)… Martin without : Mikušovič (38/5+11), Raček (9/0+0), Zukal (38/0+1), Horský (28/4+1), Murček (37/1+8), Hús (24/0+1), Vartovník (25/5+3) – doubtuful Markovič (38/23+21). Injures Slimak (1/0+0), Beran (25/7+14 – third best players). camejko

news: Two more important players out for Martin, Vazan and Novotny so they trained today with just 3 formations

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Kaiserslautern v Union Berlin

Kaiserslautern

In:
Mimoun Azaouagh (mid)(VfL Bochum), Enis Alushi (mid)(SC Paderborn 07), Kwame Nsor (att)(FC Metz B), Albert Bunjaku (att)(1.FC Nürnberg), David Hohs (gk)(Alemannia Aachen), Enis Hajri (def)(Henan Construction), Denis Linsmayer (mid)(1.FC Kaiserslautern II), Marius Müller (gk)(1.FC Kaiserslautern U19), Andrew Wooten (att)(1.FC Kaiserslautern II), Hendrick Zuck (mid)(1.FC Kaiserslautern II), Chadli Amri (mid)(FSV Frankfurt, back from loan), Ilian Micanski (att)(FSV Frankfurt), Gil Vermouth (mid)(De Graafschap Doetinchem)

Out:
Kevin Trapp (gk)(Eintracht Frankfurt), Olcay Sahan (mid)(Besiktas Istanbul), Oliver Kirch (def)(Borussia Dortmund), Marco Knaller (gk)(Wolfsberger AC), Jakub Swierczok (att)(Piast Gliwice, loan), Richard Sukuta-Pasu (att)(SK Sturm Graz, loan), Clemens Walch (mid)(SV Ried), Thanos Petsos (mid)(Bayer 04 Leverkusen, back from loan), Dorge Kouemaha (att)(FC Brügge, back from loan), Sandro Wagner (att)(SV Werder Bremen, back from loan), Lucas (def)(Bayer 04 Leverkusen, back from loan), Nicolai Jörgensen (mid)(Bayer 04 Leverkusen, back from loan)


Target:

Kaiserslautern is targeting express promotion back to Bundesliga, and will have to work for it. Second, third or fourth spot is a realistic finish for this side.

Union Berlin

In:
Roberto Puncec (def)(Maccabi Tel Aviv, loan), Adam Nemec (att)(FC Ingolstadt 04), Björn Kopplin (def)(VfL Bochum), Daniel Haas (gk)(TSG 1899 Hoffenheim), Fabian Schönheim (def)(1.FSV Mainz 05, loan)

Out:
Chinedu Ede (mid)(1.FSV Mainz 05), Ahmed Madouni (def)(FC Nantes), Philip Malinowski (mid)(Berliner AK 07), Santi Kolk (mid)(free), Boné Uaferro (def)(FC Schalke 04 II), Jérôme Polenz (mid)(free), Fabian Fritsche (def)(1.FC Union Berlin II)

Target:

Sixth position or better. Union is trying to become a team for the upper third of the table, and they seem to be on the right track.

Aufstellung
Sippel – Dick, Simunek, Yahia, Bugera – Vermouth, Borysiuk, Alushi, Fortounis – Bunjaku, Idrissou
Trainer: Foda
Haas – Pfertzel, Puncec, Schönheim, Kohlmann – Karl – Zoundi, Mattuschka, Parensen – Terodde, Silvio
Trainer: Neuhaus