friendly today

Shinnik Yaroslavl – Torpedo Moscow x2 @ 1,5 0-0

Friendly game in Larnaca, on Cyprus. Main reason why i bet on this is Shinnik played one game today, it was this morning with Mordovia Saransk and resault was 2-2.

This players played: Krasnokutskiy (Smirnov 46), Allie Ndri, povorov, Guzhenda, Beletsky (Steshin, 60), Elizej (Schadin, 46) , Michkov, Gridnev (Gazzaev R., 60), Burchenko, Nizamutdinov (Sarkisov, 75), Sarkisov (Darling, 55)

medium stake because of friendly (4/10)

Sundsvall vs. Lulea -1,5ah sundsvall 1,7 12bet 3/10 3-0

GIF Sundsvall is new Allsvenskan club (was 2nd last season in Superettan). They bring some new players (Eklund, Berglund, Michel, Danielsson) and now they are stronger. Priority is not to be relegate, they want keep their place in first league. This game they are playing in Nordichallen in Sundsvall.

Their opponents Lulea division 1 – norra. They was almost relegate, at the end of season they have just 2 points more than 12th Valsta Syrianska. I found on their site they have injury woes:

The whole squad has åke down to Sundsvall for games in the Norrland Cup. Cup is played in the Nordic Hall on a freshly laid lawn art. Unfortunately, there are some heavy cancellations in IFKs squad. The website has already reported that Donald Norrbin, Per Mettävainio and Johan Isaksson is at home with various injuries. Now, alas, Magnus Tappert has postponed when he became feverish. Other squad players are expected to be ready for play.

So, there are two defenders (not main) and two topscorers, Mettavainio (22/5) and Issakson (23/9). This two topscorers scored 14 of their 26 goals. I am mad i didnt see this before, odds drop but…I belive also in goals


10.2. /20:00 Netherlands » Eredivisie » Twente – Heracles 2-3
Twente -1.5 ah @ 1,83 Pinnacle 2/10 (also sbo, can, bet365)

Heracles Loose Plet in transfer window. He was their main players, topscorer (19/10) and he left in Twente (will be on bench). They are in good form last games but away from home it’s a different story.. When they come away, that they dont have such good resaults (just one win). Duarte (mf 19/2) is back aftzer ban so Bosz can put best 11.

Twente scored 9 goals in last two games (RKC 5-0 and Groningen 4-1). 16.2. they will face with Steaua in Bucurest in Europa league 16th finals so this game is important for confidence. Also very important game for title fight, with this win they would be back on top. They are good at home, have best attack in league and no major injurie (just mf Landzaat 14/0). Sure home win for me (also belive in over but odds are low even for over 3).


20:00 Jupiler, Almere City – Cambuur 1-1
Almere ah0 @ 2,13 Sbo, Can 2/10 (fair odds: 1,95)

I expected lower odds, equal, but this is great. This is only game which is not postponed today. So, field is ok, but expecting -14 degrees.

Probably you know they are playing 4 periods. Now is playing 3rd but not inportant for this clubs. Both will try to catch playoff by final ranking.

Almere is 2nd team of Ajax and they want playoff, they are in mid-table but in good situation. Solid at home and have today Burgzorg (df 13/1). Just is Resodihardjo (mf 7/0) out but no big deal.

Cambuur like i said, must fight for playoff with good finale ranking (or won next, last 4th period). Today again without best player Bakker (mf 17/11). Alo out are long term injured first gk Bizot and suspended El Makrini (get red card last game, mf 18/0). Marco van der Heide, Turk and Van Boxel are doubtful. This is funny league but i must take this because i cannot understand why is Cambuur favorite here.


Krylya -1ah @ 2,05 bet365 4/10 2-2

Marabella cup, this is game for 7th place. Dinamy Kyev and Rubin Kazan will play finale game.
No matter on leaving few players (important Sosnin and Ponomarenko), Krylya Sovetov looks good. They played in Belek with solid Ukraine Premier league club Kryvbas and won 3-1. In Marabella they loose against strong temas Dinamo Kyev (2/0) and CSKA Moscow (1-0). They have no missing problems as i can see and they want to win this game.

Zestafoni is leader in Georgia Umaglesi Liga but of course, their league is musc weaker than Russian. They played each year qualify for European competitions but withouth speciall resault. They are destroyed in both games in Marabella, first against Rubin Kazan 5-1 and than against Romania 2nd league club Timisoara 3-0. They are also destroyed 31.1 against Dnipro with high 8-2. They also have important missing players: Aptsiauri (mf 16/1), Benashvili (mf 12/0), Khidesheli and topscorer Dvali (att 16/9). One more player is injured but i cannot translate his name.

Belgian cup

Kortrijk – Mons over 2,5 @ 1,91 cabet, sbo 2-2

Semi finale of Belgian cup, second game. First game in Mons Kortrijk won 2-1.

Kortrijk is not ‘over team’, they are playing just 2,08 goals per game but as i said, they won iin first game (home) and today i expect Mons to try something. Mons if want finale must won, must attack. And Mons is ‘over team’, their average is 3,54 goals per game so i belive they will score. But their defence is not so good, they are reciving almost 2 goals per game. As Mons pklaying away and must attack, there is greath chance for ortrijk’s counter attacks.

I really dont like to bet on u/o but when i bet, i really belive in that. That means there is some speciall reason as important defensive missings or like this (or Bilbao yesterday), secong cup’s game when clubs cannot afford to them and fans not to try make good resault, not to attack. And here is no time to tacticly pkaying for Mons, they must attack. They have Perbet (23/18) eho is guarantee for goals. Pitch is good.